Mets vs Phillies Prediction 6/27/26 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 46-36 on the year and play the Pirates and Royals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .236 on the season, with a .302 OBP and a .401 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 90 hits and 41 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have combined for 156 hits and 72 RBI.

Alan Rangel gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. This will be Rangel’s first career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 34-48 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Braves next. The New York Mets are batting .231 on the season, have a .297 OBP, and have a .375 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 84 hits and 45 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 142 hits and 68 RBI.

Christian Scott gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. This will be Scott’s first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven games.
• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight games against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games at Citi Field following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in six of the Phillies’ last seven games at Citi Field.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Mets.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Phillies’ last 10 games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last three day games as favorites has gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last seven games between the Phillies and Mets.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Alvarez has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five games.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 15 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last nine games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Alan Rangel has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (99).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.299).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (772).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (221).

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

The Mets are going to be favored because they’re at home, and Scott has the larger sample size. Rangel is in his second season but has just 19 MLB innings for his career. He’s an inexperienced 28-year-old pitcher. I say so what. The Mets are awful, and it’s hard to back them in the favorite role. Pitching edge or not, the Phillies are the better team, and you’ll make a lot of money in this business getting the better team with the more favorable price. I’m not backing the Mets as a favorite. Give me the Phillies in one of the better value bets in Saturday’s MLB card.