Mets vs Phillies Prediction 8/26/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 26th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 70-61 this season after they won game one by a score of 13-3 on Monday night. New York trailed 3-0 in the third inning, but they scored the last 13 runs to pull away for the blowout win. The Mets recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Torrens, who went 3-5 with one home run and five RBIs in the win. New York started Senga, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Castillo picked up the win. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Braves, but lost two out of three against the Nationals before that. New York has won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 606 runs with a .247 batting average and a .325 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 29 home runs and 103 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 32 home runs and 77 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 1-2 with a 5.15 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 36.2 innings pitched this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 76-55 this year after they lost game one to open up this series on Monday evening. Philadelphia jumped out to a quick 3-0 lead, but they went scoreless over the final six innings for the loss. The Phillies recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Bohm, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Philadelphia started Sanchez, who allowed eight hits and five earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Romano allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Nationals and all three against the Mariners. Philadelphia has won six of their last eight games and they are currently leading the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 620 runs with a .257 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 45 home runs and 110 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 12-6 with a 4.10 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 145.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Mets

• The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have lost six of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games at Citi Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight games.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Mets’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Phillies’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three night games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Sean Manaea has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last five night games.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against NL East opponents.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.

Mets vs Phillies Prediction 

New York comes into this contest after winning three of their last four games and they are trying to make up some ground on the Phillies in this series. The Mets are 42-24 at home this season, while the Phillies are 34-33 on the road. Philadelphia is definitely not the same team on the road and they are starting Luzardo, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. New York is going with Manaea, who has allowed at least four earned runs in four straight outings. Take the Phillies to get the win here.