Mets vs Phillies Prediction 9/18/26 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs. Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs. Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 85-68 on the year and play the Brewers and Rays next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .242 on the season, with a .312 OBP and a .398 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bryce Harper leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 148 hits and 84 RBI, while Trea Turner and Alec Bohm have combined for 279 hits and 141 RBI.

The Philadelphia Phillies didn’t list a starting pitcher at the time of this writing.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 69-84 on the year and play the Nationals and Rangers next. The New York Mets are batting .237 on the season, have a .308 OBP, and have a .393 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 158 hits and 74 RBI, while Carson Benge and A.J. Ewing have combined for 254 hits and 96 RBI.

Zac Thornton gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 4-5 with a 3.44 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. This will be Thornton’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Phillies have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have won 12 of their last 13 games as home favorites against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won five of the Mets’ last six games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last four games.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Mets’ last 10 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last five games as underdogs against the Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of Zach Thornton’s eight previous home appearances as a starter.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Phillies’ last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against the Phillies.
• Zach Thornton has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his eight previous home appearances.
• Luis Torrens has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Edmundo Sosa has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 12 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (195).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.308).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1484).
• The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

The Mets are getting some love, I guess, because they’re at home, and Thornton is on the mound. He’s been solid with a 3.44 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 73.1 innings. We don’t know who the Phillies are throwing on the mound. Regardless, the Mets have been one of the biggest underachievers in baseball, and the Phillies are fighting for a playoff spot. We’re getting plus money with the better team that’s actually playing for something. I’ll take that all day. Give me the Phillies.