Mets vs Phillies Prediction 9/20/26 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs. Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs. Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 85-70 on the year and play the Brewers and Rays next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .241 on the season, with a .312 OBP and a .398 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bryce Harper leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 148 hits and 84 RBI, while Trea Turner and Alec Bohm have combined for 280 hits and 141 RBI.

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 17-6 with a 2.93 ERA and 215 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 4-4 with a 3.97 ERA and 58 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 71-84 on the year and play the Nationals and Rangers next. The New York Mets are batting .238 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and have a .393 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 159 hits and 74 RBI, while Carson Benge and A.J. Ewing have combined for 257 hits and 99 RBI.

Jonah Tong gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-1 with a 3.43 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. This will be Tong’s first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won five of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites against the Mets following a road loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against the Mets following a road loss.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 12 Sunday day games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have won five of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games following a home win.
• The favorites have covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Phillies and Mets.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Phillies’ last six day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last four day games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against the Phillies.
• Jonah Tong has recorded a win in each of his three previous home appearances against NL opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games as favorites against the Mets.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (45) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank T29th in the league for doubles this season (197).
• The Mets rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.310).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1502).
• The Phillies are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

The Mets have had issues stringing together wins all season, which is why they’re where they are currently. The Phillies are a win or two away from locking up a playoff spot and can’t afford to blow opportunities against bad teams. Sanchez is arguably the best pitcher in the NL with a 2.93 ERA and 1.22 WHIP through 193.2 innings. He’s had issues in September, but he’s also holding current Mets to a .220 batting average, .286 on-base percentage, and 34 strikeouts through 109 at-bats. Give me the Phillies and the RL for max betting value.