Mets vs Pirates Prediction 3/29/26 MLB Picks Today

The Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs. Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs. Pirates Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 0-2 on the year and play the Reds and Orioles next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .265 on the season and have a .299 OBP, and a .422 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 6.50 ERA and a 1.72 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 4 hits and 3 RBI, while Bryan Reynolds and Ryan O’Hearn have combined for 6 hits and 2 RBI.

Carmen Mlodzinski gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he was 5-8 with a 3.55 ERA and 89 strikeouts last season. Mlodzinski is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 3 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 2-0 on the year and play the Cardinals and Giants next. The New York Mets are batting. 246 on the season, have a .384 OBP, and have a .420 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.15 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Juan Soto leads the New York Mets with 3 hits and 1 RBI while Luis Robert Jr. and Francisco Alvarez have combined for 5 hits and 6 RBI.

Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he was 5-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 57 strikeouts last season. This will be McLean’s first career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Pirates have lost each of their last six road games after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have won eight of their last nine home games against the Pirates.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six home games following an extra innings win.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against the Pirates at Citi Field.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against the Pirates at Citi Field.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last five Sunday games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have won seven of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 10 day games after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last nine day games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the Pirates’ last 15 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Mets’ last 12 home games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Pirates’ last nine games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Luis Robert has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette ranked T2nd in the league in Hits (181) last season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Oneil Cruz ranked T4th in the league in Steals (38) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets ranked 2nd in the league for home runs allowed last season (149).
• The Mets were one of only four teams in the league to have ranked top 10 in both steals and home runs last season.
• The Pirates ranked 30th in the league for runs scored last season (583).
• The Pirates ranked 30th in the league for home runs last season (117).

Mets vs Pirates Prediction

The Mets are off to a fast start and wins like yesterday only add to the confidence. The Pirates also need to find some pitching or this season can get away from them quickly. However, I’m still rolling with the Pirates and the plus money. The Pirates have put together decent at-bats; it’s just the pitching that needs to iron itself out.

Mlodzinski has been respectable through three seasons, while McLean has just eight career starts under his belt. Those who have been around over the years know I need a larger sample size to jump on board, especially with big juice. The jury is still out on McLean and his 48 career innings. Give me the Pirates and a more favorable price.