Mets vs Pirates Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks Today

The Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Pirates Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 14-29 on the year and play the Phillies, Reds, and Brewers next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .219 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and a .325 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 40 hits and 15 RBI, while Bryan Reynolds and Oniel Cruz have combined for 65 hits and 38 RBI.

Bailey Falter gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 2-3 with a 4.36 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Falter is 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 28-15 on the year and play the Yankees, Red Sox, and Dodgers next. The New York Mets are batting .254 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and a .431 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.81 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 52 hits and 26 RBI while Pete Alonso and Juan Soto have combined for 89 hits and 56 RBI.

Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 5-1 with a 2.74 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The favorites have won each of the last 10 games between the Pirates and Mets.
• The Pirates have lost each of their last seven road games.
• The Mets have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 Wednesday night home games.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 Wednesday road games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in 12 of their last 13 games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won four of their last five night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Mets have lost four of their last five Wednesday night games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jose Siri has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Jesse Winker has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Pirates.
• Brett Baty has hit at least one home run in four of his last five home appearances with the Mets against NL opponents.
• Pete Alonso ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.589) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Jared Triolo has recorded a Double in each of the Pirates’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last nine night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded two or more RBIs in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Oneil Cruz has scored at least one run in 11 of his last 13 appearances in night games.

Mets vs Pirates Prediction

The Pirates continue to rack up the losses, as they’ve won just three games since April 26. The Pirates have scored three or fewer runs in nine of their last 10 games. There’s just not a lot to get excited about with the Pirates these days. Falter has been great lately, allowing four hits and one run in his last 13 innings, but it means nothing if the Pirates can’t produce offense. The Pirates have scored three or fewer runs in four of Falter’s last six starts.

The Mets continue to play winning baseball, and Holmes looks like an all-star this season. Holmes has allowed 15 hits and four runs in his last 17 innings. Holmes has allowed 13 earned runs in 42.2 innings, and he’s averaging more than a strikeout per game. Give me the Mets and the RL for max betting value.