Mets vs Pirates Prediction 8/7/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, August 7^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 57-60 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 29-28 home record and are coming off a 2-5 home loss against the Brewers. They will face the Marlins and the Red Sox next.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .256 batting average this season, .333 OBP and .412 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 72 and adds a team-high 24 home runs.

Carmen Mlodzinski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he has a 6-3 record, 3.15 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 50-66 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 25-32 away record and are coming off a 13-6 road win against the Guardians. They will face the Braves and the Nationals next.

The New York Mets have a .234 batting average this season, .305 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Carson Benge is the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 56, while Juan Soto adds a team-high 21 home runs.

Zac Thornton (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the New York Mets, and he has a 2-2 record, 2.88 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: August 7, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski      Record this season: 6-3      ERA: 3.15
• Home Record: 4-0
• Last 5 against Mets: 1-0

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have won each of their last five home games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zach Thornton      Record this season: 2-2      ERA: 2.88
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Pirates: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Pirates have lost each of their last nine Friday games against National League opponents.
• The road team has won each of the Mets’ last six games.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last six games.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Friday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last six games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last seven night games at PNC Park.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Pirates’ last eight home games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Pirates as favorites.
• Carmen Mlodzinski has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Gonzales ranks 5th in the league in Hits (130) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Pirates.
• Brett Baty has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as road underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1036).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1110).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (146).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.305).

Mets vs Pirates Prediction

The Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Mets having won their last four meetings in Pittsburgh.

In this Mets vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -135 home favorites. Both teams are starting relievers and will probably both go for bullpen games, but Zac Thornton has better numbers than Carmen Mlodzinski and the Mets have been in better form than the struggling Pirates. The Mets are coming off a series sweep against the Guardians, having scored 25 runs in three games, while the Pirates have been struggling with a 2-8 record in their last 10 games. Take the Mets for plus money in this one.