Mets vs Rangers Prediction 9/13/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 13th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 76-72 this year after they lost game one by a score of 8-3 on Friday night. New York cut the deficit to 6-3 in the third inning, but failed to score over the last six innings for the loss. The Mets recorded five hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Alvarez, Soto, and Alonso, who all had one RBI in the loss. New York started Tong, who allowed four hits and six earned runs over 0.2 innings for the loss, while Soto allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost all four against the Phillies and two out of three against the Reds. New York has lost seven games in a row and they are second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 697 runs with a .249 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 33 home runs and 114 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 39 home runs and 96 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Brandon Sproat, who is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this year. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 78-70 this season after they won game one by a score of 8-3 on Friday. Texas scored six runs in the first inning and they added two more in the seventh to secure the victory. The Rangers recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Moore, Freeman, and Helman, who all had two RBIs in the win. Texas started deGrom, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Garcia and Maton closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Rangers won all three against the Brewers and two out of three against the Astros. Texas has won five games in a row and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 638 runs with a .237 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with 18 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added 21 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Patrick Corbin, who is 7-9 with a 4.36 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 142.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Rangers will beat the Mets

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The underdogs have won each of the Rangers’ last six games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last seven games.
• The Rangers have won the first inning in five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rangers’ last nine day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 10 day games against AL West opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against the Rangers.
• Starling Marte has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
• Corey Seager has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as underdogs.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Mets vs Rangers Prediction 

New York comes into this contest looking to snap their losing streak, as their lead in the wild card race is getting very small. The Mets are 45-28 at home this year, while the Rangers are 31-42 on the road. Texas is one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now and they are starting Corbin, who has allowed 1, 5, 0, 4, and 7 earned runs in his last five outings. The Mets are going with Sproat, who allowed three earned runs and three hits in six innings against the Reds. We have seen Corbin pitch very inconsistently this year, but I don’t want to back the Mets on this streak. Take Texas to win here.