Mets vs Rays Prediction 6/13/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 13th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 45-24 this season after they swept the Nationals in three games by scores of 5-4, 5-0, and 4-3. In their game three win, New York led 4-0 in the fifth inning, but barely hung on for the win in the ninth. The Mets recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by McNeil, who went 1-2 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. New York started Senga, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Diaz picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Mets swept the Rockies in three games and split four games with the Dodgers. New York has won six games in a row, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.80 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 319 runs with a .248 batting average and a .332 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 17 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added 14 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who is 7-3 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 73.1 innings pitched this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 36-32 this year after they lost two out of three against Boston by scores of 10-8, 1-3, and 3-4. In their game three loss, Tampa Bay tied the game at three in the fifth inning, but they went scoreless over the final four innings in the loss. The Rays recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Diaz, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Tampa Bay started Littell, who allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Montgomery and Orze pitched the final two innings. 

Prior to that series, the Rays won two out of three against the Marlins and all three against the Rangers. Tampa Bay has won six of its last nine games, and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 301 runs with a .245 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 15 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 13 home runs and 36 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Taj Bradley, who is 4-5 with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 74.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have won each of their last seven home games against AL East opponents.
• The Mets have covered the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have lost the first inning in each of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mets’ last nine games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rays’ last six night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last nine games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine night games between the Rays and Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five games as home favorites.
• Tyrone Taylor has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five games against AL East opponents at Citi Field.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last six home games against the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances with the Rays as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded a Double in each of the Rays’ last three games as road underdogs against the Mets.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays’ last six night games.

Mets vs Rays Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series with some positive momentum, but New York has been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last week. The Mets are 27-7 at home this year, while the Rays are 13-12 on the road. Tampa Bay is starting Bradley, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow seven earned runs last time out. The Mets are going with Holmes, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. This is a pretty decent pitching matchup, but I can’t fade the Mets right now. Take New York -1.5 here.