Mets vs Royals Prediction 7/7/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 7th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 38-53 this season after they split four games with the Braves by scores of 3-5, 3-14, 10-9, and 7-6. In game four, New York erased a 3-2 deficit in the ninth inning, but they blew the save in the bottom of the ninth, before winning in the 11th. The Mets recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Soto, who went 1-2 with one home run and three RBIs. Peralta allowed six hits and one earned run over 4.2 innings, while Raley got the win and Weaver picked up the save. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Phillies. 

This season, New York has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 369 runs with a .232 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 19 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is TBD. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 37-54 this year after they won two out of three against the Phillies by scores of 1-6, 5-2, and 15-1. In game three, Kansas City scored six runs in the first inning and they picked up the blowout win. The Royals recorded 22 hits in the game and they were led by Maile, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Cameron allowed six hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Cuas threw 2.0 relief innings. Prior to that seres, Kansas City lost all three against the Rays and two out of three against the White Sox. 

This season, Kansas City has a 4.79 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while they have scored 384 runs with a .245 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 13 home runs and 47 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 12 home runs and 36 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 3-6 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 96.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have won each of their last six home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five night games at Citi Field following an extra innings win.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games.
• The Royals have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
• The Royals have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Royals and Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Royals’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last four games between the Royals and Mets.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Royals’ last four night games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games as favorites against the Royals.
• Mark Vientos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Carter Jensen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
• Seth Lugo has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Seth Lugo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Royals as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Salvador Perez has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last four road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Mets vs Royals Prediction 

New York was able to win a very exciting game on Monday night with the Braves and they are looking to build some much needed momentum. The Mets are 19-24 at home this year, while the Royals are 16-28 on the road. Kansas City earned a series win over the Phillies on Monday and they have scored 20 runs in their last two games. The Royals are starting Lugo, who has allowed 3, 7, 1, 1, and 5 earned runs in his last five starts, while the Mets have not named a starter. I will back the Mets, as I think they can build on that big win on Monday night.