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Mets vs Royals Prediction 7/8/26 MLB Picks Today

Kansas City Royals (38-54) vs. NY Mets (38-54)
July 8, 2026 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets / Kansas City Royals ; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 8th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 38-54 this season after they lost game one by a score of 12-16 on Tuesday night. New York led 9-4 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the next 12 runs for the loss. The Mets recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Soto, who went 1-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Senga allowed five hits and four earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Seelinger allowed seven earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, New York split four games with the Braves and lost two out of three against the Blue Jays. 

This season, New York has a 4.40 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 381 runs with a .233 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 20 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is 2-1 with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 49.0 innings pitched this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 38-54 this year after they won game one by a score of 16-12 last night. Kansas City scored five runs in the fifth inning to tie the game at nine and they scored seven more in the seventh for the win. The Royals recorded 19 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Thomas, who went 3-4 with four RBIs. Lugo allowed nine hits and six earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Way picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Kansas City won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost all three against the Rays before that. 

This season, Kansas City has a 4.84 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while they have scored 400 runs with a .248 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 13 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is TBD.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won each of their last 10 Wednesday night home games against American League opponents.
  • The Royals have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games.
  • The Royals have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

  • The Mets have lost seven of their last eight home games.
  • The Royals have won each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Royals and Mets.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games.
  • The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mets’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Royals’ last seven road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Royals’ last eight games.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of Christian Scott’s last seven appearances as a starter.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Scott has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Carter Jensen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances.
  • Tyler Tolbert has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last two games.

Mets vs Royals Prediction

Kansas City was able to get a very high scoring win on Tuesday in game one and they have won three games in a row. The Royals are 17-28 on the road this year, while the Mets are 19-25 at home. New York has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 45 runs in their last four games. The Mets are starting Scott, who has allowed 3, 2, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings, while the Royals have not announced their pitching plans. The Mets are 4-1 in Scott’s last five starts, so I will take New York to win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Mets ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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