Mets vs Tigers Prediction 5/12/26 MLB Picks Today

The Detroit Tigers and New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs. Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs. Tigers Pick.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 19-22 on the year and play the Guardians and Blue Jays next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .242 on the season and have a .324 OBP, and a .390 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 46 hits and 20 RBI, while Colt Keith and Kevin McGonigle have combined for 77 hits and 22 RBI.

Jack Flaherty gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 0-3 with a 5.56 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. This will be Flaherty’s second career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 15-25 on the year and play the Yankees and Nationals next. The New York Mets are batting .222 on the season, have a .287 OBP, and have a .341 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 36 hits and 16 RBI, while Francisco Alvarez and Marcus Semien have combined for 58 hits and 22 RBI.

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. Peralta is 1-0 with a 2.93 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Tigers have lost each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have won each of their last four night games following a loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Tigers have lost the first inning in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven home games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The underdogs have won five of the Mets’ last six games at Citi Field.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have won the first inning in five of their last six night games against the Mets.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against the Mets.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mets’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Tigers’ last four road games against NL East opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five games against American League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last six Tuesday appearances in night games with his team as a favorite.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his five previous home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in five of the Tigers’ last eight games against NL opponents.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
• Riley Greene ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.418) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (132).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.341).
• The Tigers rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (77).
• The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (7).

Mets vs Tigers Prediction

The Mets continue to have issues deciding if they’re good or not, but they’ve shown more signs of life recently. The Tigers have underachieved up to this point and are 7-16 on the road. Flaherty also has been a disappointment through 34 innings with a 5.56 ERA and 1.65 WHIP. He has 26 walks as well. Peralta has been far more trustworthy with a 3.12 ERA and 1.20 WHIP through 43.1 innings, averaging a strikeout per frame. The Mets have to be the play here given the pitching advantage and the Tigers’ issues on the road. I’ll lay off the juice.