Mets vs Tigers Prediction 5/14/26 MLB Picks Today

The Detroit Tigers and New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs. Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs. Tigers Pick.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 19-24 on the year and play the Guardians and Blue Jays next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .242 on the season and have a .325 OBP, and a .388 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers’ pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 50 hits and 22 RBI, while Colt Keith and Kevin McGonigle have combined for 83 hits and 22 RBI.

Keider Montero gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 2-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. This will be Montero’s first career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 17-25 on the year and play the Yankees and Nationals next. The New York Mets are batting .225 on the season, have a .290 OBP, and have a .340 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 38 hits and 18 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 62 hits and 26 RBI.

Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 1-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. This will be McLean’s second career game against the Detroit Tigers.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight games.
• The home team has won each of the Mets’ last four games.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last nine day games after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have lost each of their last four games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games after going to extra innings.
• The Tigers have won the first inning in five of their last six day games against National League opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games at Citi Field against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last nine games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Tigers’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 10 day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of Keider Montero’s last eight road appearances as a starter.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has hit a home run in nine of his last 20 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.
• Nolan McLean ranks T10th in the league for total Strikeouts (57) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jake Rogers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Riley Greene ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.419) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.340).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.290).
• The Tigers rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (81).
• The Tigers rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (34).

Mets vs Tigers Prediction

The Mets continue to show signs of getting out this funk, while the Tigers keep losing on the road. The Tigers now have 18 road losses on the season. That’s tied with the Angels for the most in baseball. As good as Montero has been, it doesn’t matter if he’s not getting run support. Also, McLean has been even better through 45.1 innings with his 2.78 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. McLean is allowing a .180 batting average on the season and a .202 batting average in 23 home innings. Quick turnaround, give me the Mets to keep digging out of this early hole.