Mets vs Yankees Prediction 5/16/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Mets vs. Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs. Yankees Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 28-17 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Rays next. The New York Yankees are batting .236 on the season and have a .330 OBP, and a .433 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.19 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 43 hits and 30 RBI while Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger have combined for 86 hits and 60 RBI.

Carlos Rodón gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 0-0 with a 6.23 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. Rodon is 3-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 18-26 on the year and play the Marlins and Nationals next. The New York Mets are batting .225 on the season, have a .291 OBP, and have a .347 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 38 hits and 18 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 67 hits and 27 RBI.

Huascar Brazoban gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. Brazoban is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday games as underdogs against the Yankees.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games following a win.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 13 games at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight night games against the Yankees at Citi Field.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine road night games.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against the Mets.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last nine road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mets’ last seven home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Carlos Rodon’s last five appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against former teams.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against former teams.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Trent Grisham has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Carlos Rodón has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Ben Rice ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.686) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.347).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.225).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (67).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (204).

Mets vs Yankees Prediction

Rodon is still working his way back into the mix, as he has just 4.1 innings under his belt this season. However, we know what he’s capable of when he’s right and I don’t expect it to take long for him to find his form. Brazoban has just 21 innings and has yet to prove he can be a consistent pitcher. Still, this game comes down to the Yankees being far and away the more trustworthy team, while the Mets have been the biggest underachievers. You won’t get cheap prices with the Yankees often. You can also look at this as a cheap price to faze the Mets. Either way, the Yankees are the play.