Mets vs Yankees Prediction 7/6/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Yankees Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 48-41 on the year and play the Mariners and Cubs next. The New York Yankees are batting .254 on the season, have a .337 OBP, and a .451 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 118 hits and 71 RBI, while Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger have combined for 171 hits and 79 RBI.

Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 10-2 with a 2.13 ERA and 106 strikeouts this season. Fried is 9-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 121 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 52-38 on the year and play the Orioles and Royals next. The New York Mets are batting .245 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .419 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 98 hits and 73 RBI while Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto have combined for 176 hits and 98 RBI.

Chris Devenski gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. Devenski is 1-1 with a 4.30 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last nine road games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have won each of their last eight day games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Yankees’ last 11 games at Citi Field.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost the first inning in each of their last three games as favorites.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against American League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in each of the Mets’ last four games as home underdogs against the Yankees.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against former teams.
• Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.401) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Cody Bellinger has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Mets.
• Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (118) this season.

Mets vs Yankees Prediction

Fried has been fantastic this season with a 2.13 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, and it’s hard to go against him. However, the Yankees have lost three of Fried’s last four starts due to a lack of run support. The Mets seem to have found their groove back and the offense is rolling. It’s like a series against a rival has woken up their spirits, and they have their swagger back. The Mets have caught fire over the last few days. I’m not a fan of bullpen games, but the Mets have turned things around. I’ll side with the home team for the sweep.