Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 9-22-24 MLB Picks
Atlanta Braves (84-71) vs. Miami Marlins (57-98)
September 22, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +136 / Atlanta Braves -161; Over/Under: +8.5
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The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will start Grant Holmes here and Holmes is 2-1 with a 3.84 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. This will be Holmes’ second career start against Miami. The Miami Marlins will start Darren McCaughan here and McCaughan is 0-0 with a 7.64 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. This will be McCaughan’s first career start against the Braves.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this one looking to win the series after tying the series up at one win apiece thanks to a 6-2 win in Saturday’s matchup. The win put the Braves in position to build on their series win over the Reds from earlier this week.
Braves Trying To Hold Serve In NL Playoff Race
Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 180 hits including 38 home runs and 101 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 23 doubles and Ozzie Albies has 28 doubles, logging 93 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has a team-high 37 doubles, 29 home runs, and 97 RBIs with a team-high 162 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 26 doubles with a pair of triples, 19 home runs, and 56 RBIs.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last five-day games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have won four of their last five-day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five-day games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in 12 of their last 16 road games.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins will try to win the series despite falling short in Saturday’s matchup. The loss put the Marlins at risk of failing to snap their series losing streak which includes losses to the Dodgers and Nationals over the last week and a half.
Marlins Trying To Play Spoiler
Jake Burger leads the Marlins with 27 home runs and 68 RBIs along with 123 hits while Jesus Sanchez has 17 home runs and 62 RBIs with 24 doubles. Xavier Edwards also has a team-high 30 stolen bases while Burger has the dubious distinction of leading the Marlins with 143 strikeouts this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven Sunday games as underdogs.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12-day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’m on the over here. I just don’t trust this pitching matchup, as the Marlins have actually been sneaky good against right-handed pitching in September, but McCaughan’s been hit hard as a starter a lot this season. I think that these offenses break out the bats on Sunday, so give me the over in this one.