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Miami Marlins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 7-7-24 Picks

Chicago White Sox (26-65) vs. Miami Marlins (31-58)
July 7, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -135 / Chicago White Sox +115; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Chicago White Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 7th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Marlins Finally Snapped Losing Streak 

The Miami Marlins are 31-58 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Miami lost the first game in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 4-3 on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Marlins lost all three against the Red Sox, split four games with the Phillies, and lost two out of three against the Royals. Miami is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 309 runs with a .231 batting average and a .281 on base percentage. Josh Bell is batting .229 with eight home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami has allowed at least five runs in four of their last six games. 

White Sox Looking for Consistent Offense 

The Chicago White Sox are 26-65 this year and they have lost four of their last six games. Chicago won game one in this series by a score of 3-2, but they did lose on Saturday. Prior to this series, the White Sox lost two out of three against the Guardians, won two out of three against the Rockies, and won a makeup game against the Braves. Chicago is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are last in the AL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 291 runs with a .222 batting average and a .283 on base percentage. Paul DeJong is batting .236 with 16 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago has scored three runs or fewer in 11 of their last 18 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 1-2 with a 7.17 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 21.1 innings pitched this year. Cabrera is coming off of the IL, but he did allow at least four earned runs in the three starts prior to getting hurt. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jonathan Cannon, who is 1-2 with a 4.62 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 39.0 innings pitched this season. Cannon has allowed eight earned runs in his last two starts (6.2 IP). 

Why the White Sox will beat the Marlins

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The White Sox have won each of their last five games as road underdogs following a road loss.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 17 of their last 18 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The White Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the White Sox’s last five games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Marlins’ last seven day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five day games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last 10 home games.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded an RBI in three of the Marlins’ last four day games.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded two or more total bases in 14 of his last 16 Sunday appearances.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded a hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games as favorites against AL opponents.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one RBI in each of the White Sox’s last four day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Eloy Jimenez has recorded a Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances with the White Sox as road underdogs.
  • Nicky Lopez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with the White Sox as road underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games.
  • Yoan Moncada has scored at least one run in each of his five previous road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Yoan Moncada has hit a home run in three of his five previous road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nicky Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the White Sox as road underdogs against NL opponents.

Miami Marlins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Miami was able to pick up the win in game two of this series on Saturday, but they are just 17-31 at home this season. Chicago is just 10-36 on the road, but they are above .500 in their last nine games. These two teams are towards the bottom of the MLB standings and they have very similar numbers, with each offense being pretty bad. Miami is going with Edward Cabrera, who did not pitch well before going on the IL. Chicago is starting Cannon, who has ran into some issues in his last two starts. This pitching matchup doesn’t give me much confidence in either team, but I think Cannon is the slightly better option. My Miami Marlins vs Chicago White Sox prediction is for the White Sox to win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: White Sox ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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