Miami Marlins vs NY Mets Prediction 5-17-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 17th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in this series. 

Marlins Finally Have Some Momentum 

The Miami Marlins are 13-32 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Miami is coming off of a series win against Detroit, where they won two out of three games and didn’t allow a run in game two or three. Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against Philadelphia, were swept by the Dodgers, and lost two out of three against Oakland. Miami hasn’t had much success this season and they are last in the NL East behind the Phillies, Braves, Nationals, and Mets. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.98 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 163 runs with a .225 batting average and a .280 on base percentage. Bryan De La Cruz is batting .256 with nine home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami is 27th in runs scored and 29th in team ERA, but they have not allowed a run in their last two games. 

Mets Looking for Two in a Row

The New York Mets are 20-23 this year and they have lost five of their last seven games. New York is coming off of a series loss against Philadelphia, where they lost three out of four games and allowed at least four runs in every game. Prior to that series, the Mets lost two out of three against Atlanta, won both games against the Cardinals, and were swept by the Rays. New York has won back to back games just once in their last 23 games. The Mets are fourth in the NL East behind the Phillies, Braves, and Nationals. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .223 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 183 runs with a .232 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .226 with 10 home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York is 13th in team ERA this season, but they have allowed at least four runs in 10 of their last 13 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Jesus Luzardo, who is 0-3 with a 5.97 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this season. Luzardo has allowed two earned runs in each of his last two starts, but allowed 12 earned runs in the two previous outings. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is 0-1 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 12.2 innings pitched this year. Scott has allowed four earned runs and 11 hits over 12.2 innings in two starts this year against Atlanta and Tampa Bay. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last nine night games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have won four of their last five games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last 10 home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The road team has covered the run line in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins vs NY Mets Prediction 

Miami comes into this game with some momentum, which is something they haven’t had much of, and they will look for another win here. The Marlins are just 6-17 at home this year, while New York is 10-9 on the road. Miami is starting Jesus Luzardo, who has been better in his last two starts, but has some poor season numbers. New York is going with Christian Scott, who has looked very good in two starts this year. I know Miami is coming off of a couple of wins, but I don’t trust their offense and they have not played well at home. My Miami Marlins vs NY Mets prediction is for the Mets to win.