Miami Marlins vs NY Mets Prediction 5/24/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will start Christian Scott here and Scott is 0-0 with a 4.12 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. In his career, Scott is 0-2 with a 7.88 ERA and 7 strikeouts against the Marlins. Tyler Phillips will get the start for Miami and is 0-0 with a 1.20 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. This will be Phillips’ first career start against the Mets.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets will be out to rebound from their 4-1 loss at the hands of the Marlins last time out to sit at 22-30 this season. After this series, the Mets will head home for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Mets Lose 4 Straight

Luis Robert Jr. has 19 hits including 2 home runs and 8 RBIs while Juan Soto has 40 hits with 4 doubles, 10 home runs and 21 RBIs. Brett Baty has 36 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 21 RBIs while Francisco Lindor has 21 hits with 2 doubles and a pair of triples as well. Marcus Semien also has 41 hits with 7 doubles, 3 home runs and 18 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 46 hits with 6 doubles, 5 home runs and 27 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 27 hits with 5 doubles and 4 home runs this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to build on Saturday’s win over the Mets to improve to 24-29 this season. After this series, the Marliners will head on the road for a series against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Marlins Win Back-To-Back Games

Xavier Edwards has 61 hits with 8 doubles, 3 triples, 6 home runs and 19 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 69 hits with 14 doubles, 2 triples, 4 homers and 21 RBIs. Agustin Ramirez has 26 hits with 5 doubles, 2 home runs and 14 RBIs and Liam Hicks has added 46 hits with 4 doubles, 11 home runs and 44 RBIs. Connor Norby has 34 hits with 9 doubles, 4 home runs and 14 RBIs and Owen Caissie has 27 hits with 7 doubles, 4 homers and 24 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 36 hits with 5 doubles, 3 triples, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs this season.

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: May 24, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 1.20
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Mets: 0-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight Sunday games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 4.12
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Marlins: 0-2

Why the New York Mets will win

• The favorites have won each of the Marlins’ last eight games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Marlins have lost 14 of their last 16 games against the Mets following a home win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.
• The favorites have covered the run line in six of the Marlins’ last seven games.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Marlins’ last 13 games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 17 appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs.
• Esteury Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his five previous appearances against the Mets.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (69) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (62).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (11).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.352).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.293).

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Marlins here. The Mets are back to riding the struggle bus and Christian Scott is not a name I envision showing up to play the role of stopper in this spot. The Marlins have been the better team in this series and I think that remains here as well. Give me the Marlins here.