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Miami Marlins vs NY Mets Prediction 7-20-24 Picks
NY Mets (49-46) vs. Miami Marlins (33-63)
July 20, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +140 / NY Mets -167 ; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs NY Mets Prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.
New York Mets Betting Preview
In their last series before the All-Star break the Mets took on the Colorado Rockies. In that one New York won the first pair 7-6 and 7-3 before an 8-5 loss in the finale. On Friday versus Miami, the Mets fell in a tough one 6-4. Sean Manaea put up 5.0 innings with five earned runs in the start.
In the starter slot for the Saturday game New York will go with Jose Quintana. Over 19 starts this year Quintana is 4-6 with a 4.13 ERA. In his 347 career games (321 starts) Quintana is 96-99 with a 3.76 ERA.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Over on the Marlins’ side, they played the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. Miami lost the first two games of that set but staved off the sweep with a 3-2 win in the finale. In their Friday opener the Marlins out-hit the Mets 10-8. Starting pitcher Edward Cabrera left after 4.2 innings and one earned on five hits and five walks.
Roddery Munoz will take the mound for the start on Saturday for Miami. This year Munoz is 1-4 with a 5.47 ERA in the first 10 games (nine starts) of his career.
Marlins vs Mets Pick Injury Notes
Mets RF Starling Marte (knee) is still without a timetable for a return from the IL.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last 10 home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last three games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last four day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Mets.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Mets.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Marlins.
- Luis Severino has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 Saturday appearances in day games with his team as a favorite.
- Luis Severino has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL opponents.
- Harrison Bader has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- Jeff McNeil has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six Saturday appearances at LoanDepot Park.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Marlins.
- Starling Marte has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins vs NY Mets Prediction
I might take a stab on the Marlins. Probably not touching this one in reality, though. Munoz hasn’t been spectacular over his last few starts. He’s coming off four earned in 6.2 innings in a loss to Houston, and gave up four earned in 8.2 innings prior to that. Still, if Munoz can muscle out a quality start here the Marlins should be in contention.
On Friday Miami got off to a great 4-0 start then hit some bumps along the way. The back end of the pen came through, but the Marlins used six arms in total along the way to the win. Munoz needs to post some quality innings here.