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Miami Marlins vs NY Mets Prediction 7-22-24 Picks

NY Mets (50-47) vs. Miami Marlins (34-64)
July 22, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +142 / NY Mets -155; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Mets and the Miami Marlins meet Monday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs NY Mets Prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

New York Mets Betting Preview

This past weekend the Mets took on the Colorado Rockies. New York won the first two installments of that set before an 8-5 Sunday loss. After splitting the first two games with the Marlins, in game three Sunday the Mets took a 4-2 loss. Starter Christian Scott finished with 4.0 innings and three earned runs.


In the starter gig for the Monday finale the Mets will send out David Peterson. This year Peterson is 4-0 with a 3.09 ERA in eight starts. He’s 22-21 with a 4.35 career ERA in 88 games (72 starts).

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they played the Cincinnati Reds in their last set. Miami lost the first two games 7-4 and 10-6 before staving off the sweep with a 3-2 finale win. On Sunday versus the Mets, the Marlins scored three times in the fourth and held on for the win. Trevor Rogers went 4.2 innings with one earned in the starting role.

It’ll be Yonny Chirinos in the starter role for the Marlins on Monday. This year Chirinos is 0-1 with a 5.76 ERA in five starts. Chirinos is 20-16 with a 4.15 career ERA in 74 games (43 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last four night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Mets’ last six games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 12 road games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Mets and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Bell has recorded a Single in each of the Marlins’ last four night games.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Marlins’ last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in six of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one total base in 14 of his last 15 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yonny Chirinos has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against the Marlins.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Marlins.
  • Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Marlins.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Mets’ last nine games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins vs NY Mets Prediction

I’ll stay with the Mets I suppose. Peterson is doing well right now. He’s got four earned runs over his last three starts in 16.2 total innings. As for Chirinos, he’s coming off eight earned in 5.2 frames in a loss to the Reds.

On Sunday the Mets really only had one bad inning on the mound but it was enough to create an insurmountable deficit. New York really couldn’t get much going on eight team hits either. I like the Mets to bounce back and even things up but I’m probably not touching it.

Andrew's Free Pick: New York Mets -155

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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