San Diego Padres (66-52) vs. Miami Marlins (43-75)
August 11, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +179 / San Diego Padres -213; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Pick.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 66-52 on the year and play the Pirates and Rockies next. The San Diego Padres have scored 22 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 straight games. The San Diego Padres have won 8 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 123 hits and 71 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 234 hits and 132 RBI.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 43-75 on the year and play the Phillies and Mets next. The Miami Marlins have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Miami Marlins have won 6 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jake Burger leads the Miami Marlins with 90 hits and 51 RBI, while Jesus Sanchez and Nick Gordon have combined for 143 hits and 76 RBI.
San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Pitching Pick Matchup
Dylan Cease gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 11-8 with a 3.40 ERA and 176 strikeouts this season. Cease has allowed 4 hits and 1 run in his last 6.2 innings. Cease has a 3.61 ERA and .183 allowed batting average in 72.1 road innings. This will be Cease’s second career game against the Miami Marlins.
Max Meyer gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-2 with a 5.10 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. Meyer has allowed 15 hits and 10 runs in his last 9 innings. Meyer has a 5.40 ERA and .271 allowed batting average in 15 home innings. This will be Meyer’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.
Why the San Diego Padres will Beat the Marlins
- The Padres have won each of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has scored at least one run in seven of his eight previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL West opponents.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games against NL West opponents.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last seven home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Merrill has hit at least one home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as favorites.
- Manny Machado has recorded at least one Double in three of the Padres’ last four games at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Padres’ last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last seven road games.
- Luis Arraez has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
- Dylan Cease has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last nine road games against NL East opponents.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
- Dylan Cease ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (176) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Miami Marlins rank 30th in the league for walks this season (280).
- The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (433).
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1072).
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction
The San Diego Padres are the hottest team in baseball and need to stay that way, as they’re now in the thick of the NL West race. Dylan Cease is a strikeout machine, and he’s going up against a Marlins’ lineup that traded away all their key players. Max Meyer doesn’t have the sample size to trust in these sorts of spots. The Padres should produce the sweep. Give me the Padres and the RL for max betting value.
