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Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 6-19-24 Picks

St. Louis Cardinals (36-36) vs. Miami Marlins (24-49)
June 19, 2024 12:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +145 / St. Louis Cardinals -170; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 19th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Marlins Going for a Rare Series Win 

The Miami Marlins are 24-49 this year and they have lost six of their last seven games. Miami lost game one in this series on Monday night, but they bounced back with a 9-8 win on Tuesday in game two. Prior to this series, the Marlins were swept by the Nationals, lost two out of three against the Mets, and lost two out of three against the Guardians. Miami is just 3-12 in their last 15 games and they are last in the NL East standings, 25 games behind the Phillies. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.70 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 260 runs with a .234 batting average and a .284 on base percentage. Jazz Chisholm is batting .266 with 10 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami is 29th in the MLB in runs scored this season and they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last six games. 

Cardinals Trying to Chase Down Milwaukee 

The St. Louis Cardinals are 36-36 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. St. Louis won game one in this series by a score of 7-6, but they lost game two on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Cardinals won two out of three against the Cubs, won two out of three against the Pirates, and split four games with the Rockies. St. Louis is 8-5 in their last 13 games and they are second in the NL Central, six games behind Milwaukee. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 284 runs with a .236 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Nolan Gorman is batting .201 with 15 home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis is 26th in runs scored so far this year, but they have scored four runs or more in seven of their last eleven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Yonny Chirinos, who is making his first appearance of the season. Chirinos has a 3.00 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 66.0 innings at Triple-A this season. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Kyle Gibson, who is 5-2 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 83.2 innings pitched this year. Gibson has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts and has allowed a total of four earned runs in his last three road starts. 

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

The Marlins have lost 11 of their last 12 games after playing the previous day.
The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight games against National League opponents following a loss.
The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday day games against National League opponents.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games following a home win.
The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games.
The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games.

Total Runs Facts

Nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Ten of the Marlins’ last 12 home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last five day games.

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 

St. Louis comes into this game after losing an exciting game on Tuesday, but they have played very well recently and will have Kyle Gibson on the mound. Gibson has actually had a pretty solid season and has done very well in his last three road starts. Miami is just 13-26 at home this year and they have been one of the worst teams in the MLB. The Marlins are dealing with a ton of injuries to their starting pitching, so they will call up Chirinos for this game. The Marlins have been really struggling to keep games close, so my Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction is for St. Louis to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Cardinals -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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