Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 6-5-24 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 5th at loanDepot Park.

Rays Dominated on Tuesday

The Rays scored nine runs on Tuesday and that was enough for the four victory. Brandon Lowe hit a home run and drove in five RBIs. The Rays are averaging 3.9 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.78 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 24th. They have a batting average of .234 which is 19th in the league. They are averaging 7.8 hits per game, which is 13th. Isaac Paredes has hit 10 home runs and driven in 32 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Rays will be Zach Eflin who sits with a 3-4 record and an ERA of 4.12. In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays, he went six innings giving up nine hits and six runs. 

Why the Rays Will Win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last nine night games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Rays have won each of their last eight night games against the Marlins following a win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.

Marlins Pitching Fell Short

The Marlins scored five runs on Tuesday, but it wasn’t enough, as the pitching gave up nine runs. Bryan De La Cruz had a solid game, hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs. The Marlins are averaging 3.6 runs, while their pitching is giving up 5.02 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 28th. They have a negative run differential of -1.37 which is 28th in the baseball. Jazz Chisholm has hit eight home runs and driven in 29 RBIs. Getting the start off the Marlins will be Braxton Garrett, who sits with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 4.56. In his last start against the Padres, he went five innings giving up six hits and one run. 

Why the Marlins Will Win

• The Rays have lost four of their last five night games after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have won seven of their last eight Wednesday night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have lost the first inning in each of their last three games.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Both of these offenses haven’t really been great, but I expect both are going to be solid in this game. I don’t really trust Braxton Garrett or Zach Eflin, especially Eflin who in his last start gave up six runs. The Marlins’ offense is going to be all over him early, and he will have no issue running up the score. The Rays will also find some success against Garrett, and that is going to be the difference here. Back the over.