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Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 4-28-24 Picks

Washington Nationals (12-14) vs. Miami Marlins (6-22)
April 28, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -149 / Washington Nationals +126; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Washington Nationals will send Patrick Corbin to the mound here and he is 0-3 with a 6.51 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. In his career, Corbin is 5-7 with a 4.05 ERA and 105 strikeouts against the Marlins. The Miami Marlins will send Ryan Weathers to the mound here and is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. In his career, Weathers is 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA and 6 strikeouts against Washington.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals will be pushing for a sweep after coming off of a sweep against the Dodgers earlier in the week as the Nats took game two of the series by a final score of 11-4. Washington scored 9 runs from the 5th-7th innings to put the Marlins away despite being outhit 13-11 in the win.

Nationals Finding Offense Vs. Fish

CJ Abrams leads the Nationals with 28 hits including 6 home runs and 13 RBIs with 4 doubles and 4 triples as well. Lane Thomas also has 10 RBIs and 11 stolen bases while Joey Gallo has 3 home runs, 5 doubles and a team-high 43 strikeouts. Trey Lipscomb has 4 stolen bases and Luis Garcia Jr. has a team-high 7 doubles and 5 stolen bases of his own. Jacob Young’s added 8 stolen bases and Jesse Winker also has a team-high 13 RBIs as well this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins could sorely use the win here to snap a five-game losing streak after being swept in a three-game set by the Braves the series prior. Miami opened the scoring in Saturday’s loss, but didn’t score again until the bottom of the 9th for consolation runs.

Marlins Offense Cooling Down

Luis Arraez has a team-high 34 hits with 5 doubles while Bryan De La Cruz has 29 hits with 5 doubles of his own as well as a team-high 5 home runs and 14 RBIs, while also owning the dubious distinction of leading Miami with 34 strikeouts this season. Jake Burger also leads the Fish with 15 RBIs as well so far this season.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last nine games as favorites.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 16 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three day games between the Nationals and Marlins.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against the Nationals.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The Nationals have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at LoanDepot Park.
  • The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last three Sunday games as underdogs.
  • The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins prediction

I’m on the Nationals in this one. Don’t get me wrong. Normally, I can’t stand backing Patrick Corbin. But the thing here is that the Nationals just continue to be the better team by a fair margin in this series and the Miami Marlins continue to have issues putting bat to ball against left-handed pitching. Corbin’s so used to getting smacked around by good teams that maybe facing off against a subpar opponent like Miami can give him a confidence boost. I just can’t back the Marlins against a left-handed pitcher. Give me the Nationals in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Washington +126

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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