Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9-13-23 MLB Picks
Milwaukee Brewers (81-63) vs Miami Marlins (74-71)
2023-09-13 19:40:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers / Miami Marlins --- Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers clash Wednesday in game 3 of an MLB series at American Family Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Marlins need a win after losing 4 of their last 6 games. The Marlins are 1.5 games back in the NL wild card race. The Marlins pitching staff is 16th in ERA (4.25), 15th in WHIP (1.29) and 17th in quality starts (47). The Marlins’ offense is 26th in runs per game (4.08), 9th in batting average (.258) and 24th in homers (146). Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with 187 hits and 63 RBI, while Bryan De La Cruz and Jorge Soler have combined for 246 hits and 144 RBI. Braxton Garrett gets the ball, and he is 8-6 with a 3.82 ERA and 140 strikeouts this season. This will be Garrett’s second career game against the Brewers.
Miami Marlins Team Facts
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six night games at American Family Field against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games as favorites.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Brewers look to stay hot after winning 7 of their last 11 games. The Brewers have a 3.5 game lead in the NL Central. The Brewers pitching staff is 4th in ERA (3.88), 3rd in WHIP (1.19) and 7th in quality starts (63). The Brewers’ offense is 18th in runs per game (4.50), 25th in batting average (.238) and 23rd in homers (146). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 143 hits and 70 RBI, while William Contreras and Willy Adames have combined for 239 hits and 146 RBI. Trevor Megill gets the ball, and he is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Megill is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The Brewers have won four of their last five games as home underdogs.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last seven home night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six home games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games at American Family Field against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.227).
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1087).
- The Miami Marlins ranks 28th in the league for walks this season (368).
- The Miami Marlins ranks 27th in the league for runs scored this season (589).
Randy’s Pick
Right when it looked like the Marlins were turning the corner, they lose 4 of their last 6 games and the offense is showing signs of going back in its hole. So while Braxton Garrett has been solid this season and has actually been even better on the road, it doesn’t matter if the offense isn’t going to provide support. Garrett has lost 3 of his last 4 starts, and a lot of it has to do with no run support. The Brewers are rolling with a bullpen game and that’s risky given the number of pitchers used, but the fish are hard to back when they get in these funks. Give me the Brewers.