Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9-29-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 29th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 82-79 this year and they have lost three games in a row. Minnesota has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 16 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Marlins, lost two out of three against the Red Sox, and lost three out of four against the Guardians. Minnesota is 1-6 in their last seven games and they are fourth in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 740 runs with a .246 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .237 with 22 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Twins this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 90-71 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Baltimore has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-2 and 9-2. Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Yankees, lost two out of three against the Tigers, and lost two out of three against the Giants. Baltimore is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are second in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 780 runs with a .250 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .282 with 37 home runs and 92 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 12-8 with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 173.2 innings pitched this year. Ober has allowed at least four earned runs in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Albert Suarez, who is 8-7 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 127.2 innings pitched this season. Suarez has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Twins will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost each of their last five day games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have won four of their last five day games at Target Field following a loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Orioles’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three day games between the Orioles and Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances at Target Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Twins’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Max Kepler has scored at least one run in eight of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Bailey Ober has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Carlos Santana has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last five home games against AL opponents.
• Bailey Ober has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
• Max Kepler has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against the Twins.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Twins.
• Ramon Urias has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances.
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five games against the Twins.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Twins.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Double in four of his five previous appearances at Target Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this game looking for the series sweep, but they have already clinched the first wild card seed and they are focused on the playoffs. The Orioles are 46-34 on the road this year, while the Twins are 43-37 at home. Neither team has anything to play for in this matchup and both pitchers have had some rough outings recently. I am going to assume the Orioles are going to take it easy with their stars in this game, so I will take the Twins to win by at least two runs.