Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 8-10-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 10th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 65-50 this season and they have split their last four games. Minnesota won both games in the doubleheader on Friday by scores of 4-2 and 6-3. Prior to this series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Cubs, swept the White Sox, and lost two out of three against the Mets. Minnesota is 7-2 in their last nine games and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 562 runs with a .253 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .247 with 15 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Twins this season. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 67-49 this year and they have lost seven games in a row. Cleveland lost both games in the doubleheader on Friday and they only scored five runs in the two losses. Prior to this series, the Guardians lost all three against the Diamondbacks, split four games with the Orioles, and won both games against the Tigers. Cleveland is 5-8 in their last 13 games and they are leading the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 535 runs with a .241 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .281 with 30 home runs and 96 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 3-2 with a 3.87 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 95.1 innings pitched this year. Woods Richardson has allowed nine earned runs in his last two starts (7.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 1-4 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 33.0 innings pitched this season. Williams has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Twins will beat the Guardians

• The Guardians have lost each of their last seven games.
• The Twins have won each of their last seven home games against American League opponents.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six games at Target Field.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last three games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Guardians’ last six games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Twins’ last nine night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances.
• Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six home appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Max Kepler has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Twins as home favorites.
• Willi Castro has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last seven home games against AL opponents.
• Max Kepler has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances at Target Field.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 11 night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Austin Hedges has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Guardians as road underdogs against the Twins.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances in night games.
• Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Will Brennan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last nine games as underdogs against the Twins.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last 11 night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Minnesota was able to sweep both games of the doubleheader on Friday and they have closed the gap to just 1.5 games behind Cleveland for first in the AL Central. The Twins are red hot right now and they are 34-21 at home this year. Cleveland is trying to snap a seven game losing streak and they are 32-29 on the road. Both of these starting pitchers have had struggles in their last few starts, but I have to go with Minnesota here, especially with how they are playing over the last two weeks. My Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Twins to win.