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Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 6-10-24 Picks

Colorado Rockies (23-42) vs. Minnesota Twins (34-31)
June 10, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -210 / Colorado Rockies +175; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 10th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series. 

Twins Finally Snapped Losing Streak 

The Minnesota Twins are 34-31 this year and they have lost five of their last six games. Minnesota is coming off of a series loss against Pittsburgh, where they lost two out of three games and were shutout in games one and two. Prior to that series, the Twins were swept by the Yankees, won two out of three against the Astros, and won three out of four against the Royals. Minnesota is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are third in the AL Central behind Cleveland and Kansas City. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 282 runs with a .230 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Willi Castro is batting .250 with four home runs and 17 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota is 22nd in team ERA this year and they have allowed four runs or more in five of their last six games. 

Rockies Earned a Series Split 

The Colorado Rockies are 23-42 this season and they have lost seven of their last nine games. Colorado is coming off of a series split with St. Louis, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Rockies were swept by the Reds, lost two out of three against the Dodgers, and won two out of three against the Guardians. Colorado is 8-14 in their last 22 games and they are last in the NL West. 

The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.33 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .281 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 264 runs with a .246 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Elias Diaz is batting .305 with five home runs and 28 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado is last in the MLB in team ERA and they have allowed at least five runs in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Chris Paddack, who is 4-3 with a 5.26 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 65.0 innings pitched this season. Paddack has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts and has allowed 11 earned runs and 11 hits over his last two outings (9.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Dakota Hudson, who is 2-7 with a 5.25 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 61.2 innings pitched this year. Hudson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow four earned runs over 4.1 innings against Cincinnati in his last outing. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The Twins have won each of their last seven home games against NL West opponents following a win.
The Rockies have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six games after going to extra innings.
The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine games.
The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Rockies.
The Rockies have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the Rockies’ last eight road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Twins’ last five night games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last seven games against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 

Colorado was able to get a series split with St. Louis over the weekend, but they are just 10-25 on the road this season. Minnesota is 16-13 at home and they will be looking to regroup after getting shut out in two of their last three games. The Twins have been wildly inconsistent this season and they will turn to Chris Paddack, who has some ugly numbers on the year and has not pitched well recently. The Rockies are going with Dakota Hudson, who has actually been decent over the last few weeks. I think Hudson may have a small edge over Paddack, but this Colorado team is not good on the road. My Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies prediction is for the Twins to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Twins -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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