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Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 4-19-24 Picks

Detroit Tigers (10-8) vs. Minnesota Twins (6-11)
April 19, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -139 / Detroit Tigers +118; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins meet Friday in MLB action from Target Field. Here’s a Tigers vs Twins prediction. This will be the opener in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Detroit took on the Texas Rangers in their latest series. The Tigers lost two of the first three games in that set, then on Thursday Detroit fought back from a 7-4 deficit but couldn’t finish in a 9-7 loss. The Tigers gave up 13 team hits along the way, and Kenta Maeda lasted just 2.2 innings with five earned on seven hits and two walks.

In the starting pitcher slot for the Friday matchup the Tigers will send out Jack Flaherty. This year in his three starts Flaherty is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA and 20 Ks in 18.1 innings. Flaherty is 42-35 with a 3.78 ERA in 134 career games (128 starts).

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Over on the Twins’ side, they played the Baltimore Orioles this week and lost three of three games in a sweep. Minnesota fell 4-2 in the Wednesday finale, scoring both runs in the seventh inning. Both Austin Martin (run) and Kyle Farmer posted one RBI, and Pablo Lopez went 6.0 innings with one earned on two hits.

Joe Ryan will take the mound for the starter gig in the Friday game for the Twins. This season so far Ryan is 0-1 over three starts with a 2.60 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 17.1 innings. Ryan has a 26-20 career record with a 3.98 ERA in 64 starts.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

  • The Twins have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites following a road loss.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Tigers and Twins at Target Field.
  • The Twins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have won each of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Twins.

Tigers vs Twins Prediction

I’ll take a stab on the Twins. We should have a pretty good starter matchup if both guys are on, though. Ryan has posted a combined two earned in 11.1 innings during two of his starts. In the other one, he gave up 6.0 innings with three earned runs in a loss to the Guardians. Ryan is still searching for that first win.

As for the Tigers, on Thursday they had a good day at the plate with 11 team hits but couldn’t overcome Maeda’s rough start. Detroit has scored four or more runs in three straight games, but they’ve also given up 14 combined over the last pair. Minnesota should have some scoring opportunities on Friday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -139

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Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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