MLB Picks

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 7-4-24 Picks

Detroit Tigers (38-47) vs. Minnesota Twins (48-37)
July 4, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -200 / Detroit Tigers +167; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins meet Thursday in MLB action from Target Field. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Tigers took on the Los Angeles Angels. In that four-game series the Tigers managed just one win, staving off the sweep with a Sunday victory 7-6. Following a 5-3 loss to the Twins in their opener, on Wednesday Detroit rolled to a 9-2 win.

In the starter role for the Tigers on Thursday it’ll be Kenta Maeda. This year in 14 starts Maeda is 2-4 with a 5.76 ERA. Over his 204 games (169 starts) in his MLB career Maeda is 67-53 with a 4.03 ERA in 204 games (169 starts).

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Over on the Twins’ side, they played the Seattle Mariners in their last set. Minnesota lost 3-2 Friday in the opener but then came back for wins 5-1 and 5-3 to take the series. On Wednesday the Twins were out-hit 11-8 in the defeat. Starter David Fiesta put up seven earned runs in 5.0 innings.

As starting pitcher for the finale Thursday the Twins will send out Bailey Ober. Across 16 starts this year Ober is 7-4 with a 4.30 ERA. In 73 career starts Ober is 20-16 with a 3.78 ERA.

Twins vs Tigers Pick Injury Notes

The Tigers put SP Casey Mize on the 15-day IL Wednesday (retroactive to July 1) due to a strained left hamstring.

Minnesota transferred RP Brock Stewart (shoulder) to the 60-day Injured List Wednesday.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Twins’ last five day games.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last seven games.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances in day games.
  • Kenta Maeda has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his eight previous appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances at Target Field.
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against the Twins.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against the Twins.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

I might take a stab on the Tigers as a value play here. Maeda hasn’t been too bad over his last three starts; he’s got nine earned runs in 15.0 innings total with an 0-2 record in that trio but hasn’t gotten a ton of help from the offense either. As for Ober, he’s 2-0 in his last three with four earned in 21.1 innings total.

On Wednesday the Detroit offense had a great third inning with five runs. Four different Tigers players had a homer in a well-rounded effort. I like Detroit to keep it up in the finale.

Andrew's Free Pick: Detroit Tigers +167

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

Related Articles

Back to top button