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Minnesota Twins vs LA Dodgers Prediction 6/22/26 MLB Picks Today

LA Dodgers (49-29) vs. Minnesota Twins (38-41)
June 22, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins +130 / LA Dodgers -157; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Minnesota Twins meet Monday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Eric Lauer for the start here and Lauer is 2-5 with a 5.37 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Zebby Matthews will start for Minnesota here and is 3-4 with a 4.78 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to shake off a 12-1 loss at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles on Sunday to slip to 49-29 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Dodgers Drop Back-To-Back Games

Andy Pages has 80 hits with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 57 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 50 hits with 8 doubles, 7 home runs and 31 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 78 hits with 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 43 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 77 hits with 17 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 40 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 61 hits with 9 doubles, 16 home runs and 31 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 64 hits with 16 doubles, 6 home runs and 40 RBIs this season.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks last time out to sit at 38-41 this season. After this series, the Twins will take on the Colorado Rockies in a series at home.

Twins Win 7 Of Last 9

Byron Buxton has 76 hits with 13 doubles, a triple, 24 home runs and 40 RBIs while Josh Bell’s added 69 hits with 15 doubles, 9 home runs and 48 RBIs. Luke Keaschall has 66 hits with 12 doubles, 2 homers and 24 RBIs. Brooks Lee has 12 home runs with 44 RBIs and Victor Caratini has 29 RBIs while Kody Clemens has 57 hits with 15 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 29 RBIs this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: June 22, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Zebby Matthews      Record this season: 3-4      ERA: 4.78
  • Home Record: 2-1
  • Last 5 against Dodgers: –

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Twins have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight Monday night games.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four night games.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Monday night games.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Eric Lauer      Record this season: 2-5      ERA: 5.37
  • Road Record: 0-3
  • Last 5 against Twins: 1-3

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last nine games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last six games against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the Dodgers’ last six games.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against American League opponents.
  • The Dodgers have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in 11 of their last 12 games as road favorites.

Total Runs Facts

  • Ten of the Twins’ last 11 night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Dodgers’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Eric Lauer’s last six appearances as a starter.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Twins’ last six home games against NL West opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Byron Buxton ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (24) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Eric Lauer has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Eric Lauer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.418) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Twins rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (406).
  • The Twins rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.79).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.259).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.343).

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m on the Twins in this one. Right now, the Twins are just playing the better baseball and I feel like Zebby Matthews is the better starter in this matchup. I’m still not sold on Eric Lauer, especially being favored at this price, and I think the Twins take down the Dodgers to draw first blood in the series.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins +130

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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