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Minnesota Twins vs NY Yankees Prediction 5-16-24 Picks

NY Yankees (29-15) vs. Minnesota Twins (24-18)
May 16, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -120 / NY Yankees +100; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs NY Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 16th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in this series. 

Twins Try to Avoid Sweep 

The Minnesota Twins are 24-18 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Minnesota has lost the first two games in this series and they have scored a total of one run in two games. Prior to this series, the Twins won two out of three against Toronto, won three out of four against Seattle, and won two out of three against Boston. Minnesota has struggled in their last four games, but they have played very well over the last month and they are third in the AL Central behind the Guardians and Royals. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 196 runs with a .237 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Ryan Jeffers is batting .283 with 10 home runs and 31 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota is 16th in team ERA and they are 12th in runs scored, as they have scored at least five runs in five of their last eight games. 

Yankees are on a Roll 

The New York Yankees are 29-15 this year and they have won nine of their last eleven games. New York has won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-1 and 4-0. Prior to this series, the Yankees won two out of three against Tampa Bay, won two out of three against Houston, and swept the Tigers in three games. New York has played extremely well over the past two weeks and they are now leading the AL East by a half game over Baltimore. 

The New York pitching staff has a 2.98 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .217 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 211 runs with a .254 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .255 with 11 home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York is second in the MLB in team ERA and they have allowed three runs or fewer in seven of their last 11 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 2-2 with a 3.21 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 47.2 innings pitched this year. Ryan has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, but has allowed six hits in two of his last three. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clarke Schmidt, who is 4-1 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this year. Schmidt has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won each of their last three games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

 

  • Max Kepler has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last six day games.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 14 home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 17 Thursday day appearances.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Twins as favorites.
  • Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Yankees.
  • Max Kepler has recorded a Double in three of the Twins’ last four day games.
  • Max Kepler has recorded a Single in each of the Twins’ last seven games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Yankees.
  • Ryan Jeffers ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.629) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

 

  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has scored at least one run in each of his last eight road appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against the Twins.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one Double in four of the Yankees’ last five day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.413) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

 

  • The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (405).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (85).
  • The New York Yankees rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (55).
  • The New York Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (175).

Minnesota Twins vs NY Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup looking for the series sweep, as they have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last two weeks. The Yankees are 16-9 on the road, while the Twins are 11-10 at home. Minnesota has cooled off after dominating over a three week span and they are looking to find some offense in the series. The Twins are starting Joe Ryan, who has been pretty solid so far this year. The Yankees are starting Clarke Schmidt, who has allowed one earned run and eight hits over his last two road starts (12.1 IP). I think this pitching matchup is pretty even, but I like getting this Yankees lineup at a decent price. My Minnesota Twins vs NY Yankees prediction is for the Yankees to win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Yankees ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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