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Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 6-19-24 Picks

Tampa Bay Rays (34-38) vs. Minnesota Twins (40-32)
June 19, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -163 / Tampa Bay Rays +149; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB action from Target Field. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Rays played the Atlanta Braves in their weekend set. Tampa Bay lost the first two installments of that series but staved off the sweep with an 8-6 Sunday win. On Tuesday versus the Twins, the Rays took a tough walk-off loss 7-6. Starter Aaron Civale left after 3.2 innings, four earned, seven hits and two walks.

In the starter role for Tampa Bay on Wednesday it’ll be Taj Bradley. So far this year Bradley is 2-4 with a 4.23 ERA and 50 Ks in 38.1 innings over seven starts. Bradley is 7-12 with a 5.22 ERA in 30 career games (28 starts).

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Over on the Twins’ side, they played four games versus the Oakland Athletics over the weekend. Minnesota did very well in that series, taking the sweep with all four wins. On Tuesday the Twins out-hit the Rays 13-8 in the win and scored four in the fourth inning. Pablo Lopez put up 4.0 frames in the start with five earned on seven hits and a walk.

It’ll be Joe Ryan as starter in the Wednesday matchup. Ryan is 5-5 over 14 starts this year with a 3.24 ERA and 90 strikeouts in 86.0 innings. Over his career Ryan is 31-24 with a 3.89 ERA in 75 starts.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rays’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Twins’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last eight road games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Santana has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded a Double in three of the Twins’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last nine games.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 13 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Max Kepler has scored at least one run in eight of the Twins’ last nine games as favorites against the Rays.
  • Carlos Correa ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.317) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances.
  • Randy Arozarena has scored at least one run in nine of the Rays’ last 10 games against the Twins.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays’ last seven night games.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (189).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (137).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (101).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.357).

Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

I’ll try the Rays. Probably not touching it, though. Back on June 1 Bradley had a bad start versus the O’s with a whopping nine earned in 3.1 innings during a loss. Since then Bradley is 1-1 with 12.0 innings and just one earned on six hits and three walks, though. As for Ryan, he’s 1-2 in his last trio with nine earned in 19.0 combined innings. We should have a good starter matchup here if both guys are on point.

On Tuesday the Rays had a 4-0 lead at one point and a 6-4 lead at another. Tampa couldn’t hold on to either one. The good news is that the offense did pretty well overall. The bad news is that the Rays need a much better pitching outing from a depleted pen Wednesday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +149

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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