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MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds – July 30, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds - July 30, 2022
2022-07-30 18:40:00 EDT

The Baltimore Orioles (51-49) face the Cincinnati Reds (38-61) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday at 6:40pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Dean Kremer is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Tyler Mahle is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Reds are favored to win at -115, while the Orioles are at -106. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -106.

  • The Orioles (+155) have a 67-33 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (-180) hold a record of 47-52.
  • The Orioles have a 45-51-4 O/U record this season (meaning 45 games have gone over the total runs line, 51 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 51-45-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Orioles are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging 4.4 (T16th).
  • In the field, the Orioles are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (11th in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 5.4 runs (29th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .234 (ranking 24th in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting .240 (17th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds have hit 94 (21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 103 (15th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 397 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 414 RBIs to rank 16th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Reds have an earned run average of 5.18 this season (30th in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 3.89 (14th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 760 this season, ranking 25th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 10th for total strikeouts, recording 873.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .256 against the Reds this season (26th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Orioles’ opponents are at .255 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Orioles 15-29-56 6-14-29 9-15-27 2-6-4 13-23-52 0-0-0 1-5-4
  • Reds 17-22-60 14-10-30 3-12-30 9-5-8 8-17-52 0-0-0 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Orioles 34-48-18 17-21-11 17-27-7 3-8-1 31-40-17 0-0-0 1-7-2
  • Reds 31-40-28 24-17-13 7-23-15 9-11-2 22-29-26 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 55-45 in Orioles games this season. The Reds have a 56-43 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded a 6-2 victory over the Reds at Great American Ball Park yesterday. Anthony Santander dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 2 RBIs. The Orioles have now won three straight against the Reds.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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