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MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins – July 3, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins - July 3, 2022
2022-07-03 14:10:00 EDT

The Baltimore Orioles (35-43) face the Minnesota Twins (44-36) at Target Field on Sunday at 2:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Tyler Wells is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Devin Smeltzer is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Twins are favored to win at -169, while the Orioles are at +145. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -106.

  • The Orioles (-145) have a 49-29 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (+125) hold a record of 38-42.
  • The Orioles have a 35-41-2 O/U record this season (meaning 35 games have gone over the total runs line, 41 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 36-39-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Orioles are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (23rd in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.4 more at 4.5 runs (12th).
  • In the field, the Orioles are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (21st in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (7th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .228 (ranking 26th in the Major Leagues), while the Twins are batting .252 (7th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 94 (10th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 79 (17th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 299 RBIs to rank 23rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 347 RBIs to rank T10th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 3.67 this season (7th in the Majors), while the Orioles have an ERA of 4.03 (20th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 551 this season, ranking 28th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 17th for total strikeouts, recording 644.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .234 against the Twins this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Orioles’ opponents are at .258 (26th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Orioles 13-23-42 5-12-18 8-11-24 10-11-24 3-12-18 0-0-0 3-2-5
  • Twins 26-16-38 15-8-18 11-8-20 20-8-18 6-8-20 0-0-0 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Orioles 26-38-14 12-15-8 14-23-6 16-23-6 10-15-8 0-0-0 3-3-3
  • Twins 37-23-20 21-11-9 16-12-11 26-10-10 11-13-10 0-0-0 6-2-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 41-37 in Orioles games this season. The Twins have a 37-43 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Twins recorded an upset 4-3 victory over the Orioles at Target Field yesterday. Nick Gordon was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI. The Twins have now won 12 straight at Target Field against the Orioles.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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