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MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox – August 28, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox - August 28, 2022
2022-08-28 13:35:00 EDT

The Tampa Bay Rays (69-56) face the Boston Red Sox (61-65) at Fenway Park on Sunday at 1:35pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Corey Kluber is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Nick Pivetta is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Rays are favored to win at -115, while the Red Sox are at -106. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -121.

  • The Rays (+145) have a 60-65 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (-169) hold a record of 63-63.
  • The Rays have a 57-57-11 O/U record this season (meaning 57 games have gone over the total runs line, 57 have gone under and 11 have resulted in a push). The Red Sox have a 57-60-9 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging 4.5 (T11th).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing only 3.8 runs per game this season (5th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (25th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .239 (ranking 20th in the Major leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .257 (7th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Red Sox have hit 118 (19th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 114 (T21st).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 501 RBIs to rank 19th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Red Sox have recorded 542 RBIs to rank 11th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.33 (4th in the Majors), while the Red Sox are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.49 (25th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 1094 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Red Sox rank 17th for total strikeouts, recording 1059.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .252 against the Red Sox this season (24th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays’ opponents are at .231 (5th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 32-26-67 18-13-34 14-13-33 22-16-46 10-10-21 0-0-0 3-0-7
    Red Sox 24-34-68 10-19-34 14-14-34 12-18-33 12-16-35 0-1-0 1-5-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 49-32-44 29-15-21 20-17-23 36-22-26 13-10-18 0-0-0 7-1-2
    Red Sox 41-52-33 19-28-16 22-23-17 23-24-16 18-28-17 0-1-0 4-5-1

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 66-59 in Rays games this season. The Red Sox have a 64-62 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Red Sox recorded a 5-1 victory over the Rays at Fenway Park yesterday. Enrique Hernandez went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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