Nationals vs Orioles Prediction 4/24/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 24th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 11-13 this season, and they have won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-0 and 4-3. In their game two win, Washington scored three runs in the first inning, but didn’t score again until the eighth, when they got the winning run. The Nationals recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Bell, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Washington started Williams, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings pitched, while Lopez picked up the blown save and the win in the eighth. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Rockies, but did lose three out of four against the Pirates before that. Washington has won four of their last five games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.80 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .258 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 104 runs with a .236 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with eight home runs and 18 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added four home runs and 19 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is MacKenzie Gore, who is 2-2 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 29.0 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 9-14 this year after they lost game two in this series by a score of 4-3 on Wednesday. Baltimore was able to score three runs in a row to erase a 3-0 deficit, but allowed Washington to answer right away in the loss. The Orioles recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Urias, O’Neill, and Rutschman, who all had one RBI in the win. Baltimore started Sugano, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Soto allowed one hit and one earned run for the loss in the eighth. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Reds, but did win two out of three against the Guardians before that. Baltimore has lost four of their last five games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 5.45 ERA with a 1.58 WHIP and a .297 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 101 runs with a .227 batting average and a .300 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with six home runs and 19 RBIs, while Heston Kjerstad has added three home runs and 12 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cade Povich, who is 0-2 with a 6.38 ERA and a 2.07 WHIP over 18.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Nationals will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost each of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have won seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in five of their last six night games at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight home games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last 10 night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Orioles’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight home games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Josh Bell has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one Double in three of the Nationals’ last four night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Luis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last five home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Josh Bell has scored a run in seven of his eight previous home appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
• MacKenzie Gore has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances after playing the previous day.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gary Sanchez has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
• Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last six road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Ryan O’Hearn has scored a run in four of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
• Ryan O’Hearn has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.

Nationals vs Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this matchup really struggling over the last five games, and they have scored just five total runs in their last three. The Orioles had plenty of baserunners last night, but they couldn’t find the big hit when they needed it. Washington has won four of their last five games, and it will be starting Gore, who has allowed two earned runs in two of his last three starts. The Orioles are going with Povich, who allowed seven earned runs against Cincinnati in his last start. I don’t trust this Baltimore lineup with how they are currently hitting, and I definitely don’t trust Povich on the mound. Take Washington to win here.