Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 6/22/26 MLB Picks Today
Philadelphia Phillies (42-35) vs. Washington Nationals (40-38)
June 22, 2026 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals -120 / Philadelphia Phillies 100; Over/Under: 10
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In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 22nd at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 40-38 this year after they lost two out of three against the Rays by scores of 2-5, 4-3, and 3-4. In game three, Washington led 3-1 in the sixth inning, but they allowed the last three runs for the loss. The Nationals recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Abrams, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Alvarez allowed four hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Ribalta picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Washington won two out of three against the Royals and two out of three against the Mariners.
This season, Washington has a 4.64 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while they have scored 416 runs with a .246 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 17 home runs and 57 RBIs, while James Wood has added 20 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Foster Griffin, who is 7-2 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 84.0 innings pitched this year.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 42-35 this season after they won two out of three against the Mets by scores of 4-6, 15-3, and 6-2. In game three, Philadelphia scored five runs in the first two inning and they cruised to the win. The Phillies recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Schwarber, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Wheeler allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Bowlan picked up a hold. Prior to that series, Philadelphia won two out of three against the Mets and two out of three against the Marlins.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.06 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 329 runs with a .232 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 29 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 17 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is TBD.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Phillies have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have won each of their last four night games after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight Monday home games.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last 12 Monday night home games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 Monday night home games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last nine Monday night games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four night games.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Nationals’ last six night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Phillies’ last 11 road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last five games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last four night games.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last three games.
- Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Nationals as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Nasim Nunez ranks T1st in the league in Steals (28) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit two or more home runs in each of his last three appearances at Nationals Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Nationals.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (29) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (416).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (395).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (725).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (212).
Nationals vs Phillies Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they have allowed 4+ runs in four of their last five. The Nationals are 16-22 at home this year, while the Phillies are 19-16 on the road. Philadelphia got a series win against the Mets and they have scored 6+ runs in three of their last five. The Phillies haven’t announced their starter, while Griffin has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Nationals here.