Nationals vs Reds Prediction 8/9/26 MLB Picks Today
Cincinnati Reds (56-60) vs. Washington Nationals (58-61)
August 9, 2026 12:15 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals -104 / Cincinnati Reds -104; Over/Under: 9.5
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In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 9th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 58-61 this year after they won the first two games by scores of 5-3 and 8-2. In game two, Washington blew a 2-0 lead in the sixth inning, but they scored the last six runs for the win. The Nationals recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Chaparro, who went 2-2 with three RBIs. Alvarez allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings, while Beeter picked up the win. Prior to this series, Washington lost three out of four against the Phillies and all four against the Braves.
This season, Washington has a 4.74 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while they have scored 636 runs with a .250 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 28 home runs and 89 RBIs, while James Wood has added 30 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Brad Lord, who is 5-2 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 59.0 innings pitched this year.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 56-60 this season after they lost game two by a score of 2-8 on Saturday. Cincinnati scored two runs in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Reds recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Suarez, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Burns allowed six hits and five earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Marinaccio allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati swept the Athletics in three games and won three out of four against the Pirates.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.45 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 481 runs with a .229 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 25 home runs and 87 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 20 home runs and 54 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 5-10 with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 113.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The home team has won each of the Reds’ last six games.
- The Reds have lost each of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Reds.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight road day games.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won seven of their last eight games following a loss.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Nationals’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last seven day games between the Reds and Nationals.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Reds’ last six games against NL East opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Daylen Lile has hit at least one home run in three of the Nationals’ last five games against the Reds.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (40) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Sal Stewart has hit a home run in five of the Reds’ last six day games.
- Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances.
- Noelvi Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Brady Singer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (628).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (170).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (881).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
Nationals vs Reds Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep and they have scored 26 runs in their last four games. The Nationals are 25-34 at home this year, while the Reds are 27-29 on the road. Cincinnati has won three of their last five games, but they have allowed 18 runs in their last three. The Reds are starting Singer, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three straight starts, while Lord will be used as an opener. Take the Reds here.