Nationals vs Rockies Prediction 7/21/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, July 21^st in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 40-62 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL West. They have a 23-28 home record and are coming off a 3-7 home loss against the Nationals. They will face the Brewers and the Padres next.

The Colorado Rockies have a .255 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .420 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.47 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Jake McCarthy is the team’s best hitter with a .305 batting average. Hunter Goodman leads the team in RBI with 56, adding a team-high 30 home runs.

Michael Lorenzen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Colorado Rockies, and he has a 3-9 record, 6.22 ERA and 1.77 WHIP.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 51-50 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 31-19 away record and are coming off a 7-3 road win against the Rockies. They will face the Dbacks and the Blue Jays next.

The Washington Nationals have a .252 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .440 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.80 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Luis Garcia Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .279 batting average. CJ Abrams leads the team in RBI with 72, while James Wood adds a team-high 28 home runs.

Miles Mikolas (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Washington Nationals, and he has a 3-7 record, 5.53 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.

Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: July 21, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen      Record this season: 3-9      ERA: 6.22
• Home Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Nationals: 1-2

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Rockies have won six of their last eight games as home underdogs following a home loss.
• The Nationals have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Nationals and Rockies.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Miles Mikolas      Record this season: 3-7      ERA: 5.53
• Road Record: 0-4
• Last 5 against Rockies: 1-1

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Rockies have lost 12 of their last 13 night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have won each of their last four night games against NL West opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line each of their last six games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 13 night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Rockies’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Nationals’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rockies’ last 10 home games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last four night games against National League opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Mickey Moniak has hit at least one home run in six of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Hunter Goodman ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (30) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit at least one home run in four of the Nationals’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Miles Mikolas has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (37) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.47).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.47).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (552).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (552).

Nationals vs Rockies Prediction

The Rockies are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Nationals but are 1-3 in their last 4 meetings in Colorado.

In this Nationals vs Rockies Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. I like the Rockies in a bounce-back spot today, as Lorenzen has been in excellent form with two earned runs or less in six of his last seven starts. On the flip side, Mikolas was torched in his last two starts with 13 earned runs and the Nationals’ bullpen has been terrible lately. Take the Rockies to win this one at home.