Nationals vs Twins Prediction 5/7/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 7th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 17-20 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-11 and 15-2. In game two, Washington trailed 2-1 in the fifth inning, but they scored the last 14 runs for the blowout win. The Nationals recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Abrams, who went 3-5 with one home run and five RBIs. Mikolas allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Parker threw 2.2 scoreless innings in relief. Prior to this series, Washington lost two out of three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.82 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 198 runs with a .241 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with nine home runs and 33 RBIs, while James Wood has added 10 home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 1-4 with a 4.93 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 34.2 innings pitched this year. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 16-21 this season after they lost game two by a score of 15-2 in their last game. Minnesota led 1-0 in the third and 2-1 in the fifth, but they absolutely fell apart in the later innings for an ugly loss. The Twins recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Wallner, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Ober allowed six hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Topa allowed six earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota split four games with the Blue Jays and lost two out of three against the Mariners before that. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.72 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 178 runs with a .233 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Ryan Jeffers has led the Twins with four home runs and 21 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added three home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 0-5 with a 6.49 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP over 34.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have won eight of their last nine day games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line each of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in five of their last six day games against the Twins.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last 10 home games following a win.
• The Twins have won six of their last seven games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games following a win.
• The road team has covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Twins and Nationals.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 11 day games at Nationals Park against American League opponents.
• The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Nationals’ last 12 home games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Twins’ last seven games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last eight Thursday games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of Jake Irvin’s last seven appearances as a starter.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three games against the Twins.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in 10 of the Twins’ last 15 games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Thursday appearances against teams that held a losing record.

Nationals vs Twins Prediction 

Washington was able to erupt at the plate on Wednesday to even the series at one, but their pitching staff continues to be one of the worst in baseball. The Nationals are 5-13 at home this year, while the Twins are 6-11 on the road. Minnesota has allowed 11+ runs in two of their last four games and they are starting Woods Richardson, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in four of his last five starts. Washington is going with Irvin, who has allowed three earned runs in three of his last five starts. Take the over in this one.