Nationals vs Yankees Prediction 7/10/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 10th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 48-46 this year after they won two out of three against the Astros by scores of 12-11, 3-6, and 8-2. In game three, Washington scored eight runs in the first five innings and cruised to the easy win. The Nationals recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Garcia Jr, who went 3-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Griffin allowed five hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Ribalta threw an inning in relief. Prior to that series, Washington lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did win two out of three against the Red Sox before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.76 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while they have scored 508 runs with a .251 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 20 home runs and 67 RBIs, while James Wood has added 25 home runs and 61 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Carson Palmquist, who is 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 6.1 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 51-42 this season after they split four games with the Rays by scores of 5-1, 4-6, 0-3, and 12-4. In game four, New York trailed 1-0 in the first inning, but they scored the next six runs to pull away with the win. The Yankees recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Rice, who went 2-4 with two home runs and five RBIs. Blackburn opened the game, while Yarbrough picked up the win. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the Twins and all three against the Tigers. 

This season, New York has a 3.41 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 448 runs with a .235 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 28 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Ryan Weathers, who is 3-7 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 92.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The Nationals have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 games as favorites.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 home night games.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have won each of their last three games against the Nationals.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Nationals have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Yankees and Nationals at Nationals Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Thirteen of the Yankees’ last 15 games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of Carson Palmquist’s last eight appearances as a starter.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• James Wood has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 13 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (33) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ben Rice has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five night games.
• Ryan Weathers has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against the Nationals.
• Ben Rice ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.590) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (508).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (484).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (135).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.41).

Nationals vs Yankees Prediction

New York was able to get a much needed win on Thursday against the Rays, but they continue to struggle over the last three weeks. The Yankees are 28-22 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 20-28 at home. Washington has also lost three of their last five games, but they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last four. The Nationals are starting Palmquist, who will be an opener, while Weathers has allowed 4, 2, 1, 1, and 6 earned runs in his last five starts. Take the over here, as I don’t trust either pitching staff right now.