Nationals vs Yankees Prediction 7/11/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Yankees (52-42) vs. Washington Nationals (48-47)
July 11, 2026 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals 163 / NY Yankees -199; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Yankees and Washington Nationals meet Saturday in MLB action at Nationals Park. Here’s a Nationals vs Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Nationals vs Yankees Pick.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 52-42 on the year and play the Dodgers and Pirates next. The New York Yankees are batting .237 on the season and have a .317 OBP and a .423 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 91 hits and 66 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 154 hits and 87 RBI.
Cam Schlittler gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 9-5 with a 2.01 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season. This will be Schlittler’s second career game against the Washington Nationals.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 48-47 on the year and play the Athletics and Rockies next. The Washington Nationals are batting .251 on the season and have a .325 OBP and a .435 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. James Wood leads the Washington Nationals with 96 hits and 61 RBI, while CJ Abrams and Daylen Lile have combined for 183 hits and 111 RBI.
Miles Mikolas gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 3-7 with a 5.78 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. Mikolas is 1-0 with a 4.41 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
- The Nationals have won each of their last three games as home underdogs against the Yankees following a loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Saturday games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday games.
- The Yankees have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have won each of their last six day games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the last 10 games between the Yankees and Nationals at Nationals Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last four day games against NL East opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Miles Mikolas has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five Saturday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- James Wood has hit a home run in four of the Nationals’ last five games as underdogs.
- James Wood has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 14 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Cam Schlittler has recorded six or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 16 road appearances.
- Ben Rice has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against the Nationals.
- Cam Schlittler has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
Nationals vs Yankees Prediction
I just can’t step in front of Schlittler, who has a 2.01 ERA and 0.93 WHIP on the season. He’s also been even better on the road, where he has a 1.04 ERA and a .163 allowed batting average. Mikolas has a 5.78 ERA and 1.33 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 18 hits and 13 runs in his last 13 innings. At home through 44.2 innings, Mikolas has a 6.45 ERA and a .287 allowed batting average. The Yankees should have a field day offensively in this spot, while the Nats should have a tough day at the office. Give me the Yankees and the RL for max betting value.