NY Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5-30-24 Picks

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Diamondbacks played a pair of games versus the Texas Rangers in their last series. Arizona took a 4-2 loss in the opener on Tuesday. In the Wednesday matchup, Arizona out-hit Texas 9-8 but still took a 6-1 loss. Starter Ryne Nelson finished with four earned on five hits and three walks in 6.0 innings.

As starting pitcher for Thursday’s game, the Diamondbacks are going with Zac Gallen. This year Gallen is 5-4 with a 3.12 ERA in 10 starts. He’s got 60 Ks in 57.2 innings. Gallen is 44-35 with a 3.20 ERA in 125 career starts. The Diamondbacks will meet the Giants, Padres, and Angels after this series.

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they played the Los Angeles Dodgers in their last series. New York lost 5-2 in the opener of that set and fell 3-0 in game two. In the Wednesday finale the Mets took a blowout loss 10-3. David Peterson put up 5.0 innings as starter with two earned on seven hits and a walk.

It’ll be Christian Scott in the starting role for the Mets on Thursday. This year Scott is 0-2 with a 3.97 ERA in four starts (the first four starts of his career). Scott has 21 Ks in 22.2 innings. The Mets will face the Nationals following this series.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Injury Notes

Diamondbacks SP Merrill Kelly (shoulder) is expected to begin a throwing program next week. SS Geraldo Perdomo (knee) will be playing in live games very soon.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Mets’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five Thursday games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Thursday appearances with the Mets as underdogs.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last 11 Thursday night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Jake McCarthy has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Christian Walker has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last two road games against NL opponents.
• Christian Walker has recorded an RBI in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five road games against NL opponents.
• Zac Gallen has recorded a win in 11 of his last 14 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Christian Walker has recorded a Single in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Zac Gallen has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Diamondbacks as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Christian Walker has recorded at least one total base in each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games.
• Joc Pederson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
• Geraldo Perdomo has scored a run in each of his last four road appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Mets rank 30th in the league for triples this season (1).
• The New York Mets rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (227).
• The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (412).
• The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.256).

NY Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Mets. Not touching this one, though, as New York didn’t play well in the Dodgers series. As for Scott, he hasn’t pitched terribly (for the most part) over his four starts so far. He’s coming off 6.0 innings with two earned on two hits and a walk versus the Giants on May 24.

On Wednesday, the Mets coughed up a whopping 16 hits to the Dodgers and surrendered six runs in the eighth inning alone. Most of the damage came from the bullpen, with seven earned via three different pitchers (six from two of them). New York needs a excellent bounce-back here; I’m staying away.