NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 7-25-24 Picks

The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Braves played the St. Louis Cardinals. Atlanta won the first game 3-2 but otherwise lost the other pair to drop the series. Following a 4-1 loss to the Reds on Monday, in the Wednesday afternoon game the Braves took a 9-4 loss. In the nightcap finale Atlanta was rained out. That one will be made up on September 9.

In the starter slot for the Braves on Thursday it’ll be Chris Sale. This year Sale is 13-3 with a 2.70 ERA. Sale was originally set to pitch the nightcap Wednesday but he was pushed back. The Braves will take on the Brewers and Marlins after this series.

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they took on the New York Yankees in a pair of games this week. The Mets won 3-2 in the opener, then on Wednesday they caught fire late in a 12-3 blowout victory.

New York will send out Luis Severino in the starter role for Thursday’s game. This year Severino is 7-3 with a 3.58 ERA in 19 starts. Severino is 61-40 with a 3.76 ERA in 160 career games (144 starts). The Mets will play against the Twins and Angels following this series.

Mets vs Braves Pick Injury Notes

Braves LF Whit Merrifield (finger) was out of the lineup during Wednesday’s doubleheader.

Mets RP Reed Garrett (elbow) hopes to be ready for a bullpen session by this weekend.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Mets’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Braves’ last 12 night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in six of the Mets’ last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven Thursday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Luis Severino has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
• Luis Severino has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets’ last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 Thursday appearances with the Mets as underdogs.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of the Braves’ last three road games against NL opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last eight games against the Mets.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 16 games against the Mets.
• Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last six games as road favorites against the Mets.
• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded two or more RBIs in each of the Braves’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 16 games against the Mets.

NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I was going to stay with the Mets, but with Sale on the mound I’m going the other way. Severino started out shaky this month, posting a loss with 6.0 innings and seven earned versus the Pirates on July 5. In his two starts since then however, Severino is 2-0 with 12.1 innings and two earned on six hits and six walks. He should be fine here, however Sale has been doing great lately himself.

On Wednesday New York scored six runs in the eighth inning along the way to their blowout win. The Mets got five RBI from Francisco Lindor and the pitching was pretty great as well. I like New York to come in confident, but Sale should stave them off.