Atlanta Braves (55-48) vs. NY Mets (55-49)
July 28, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -101 / Atlanta Braves -118; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate an NY Mets vs Atlanta BravesPrediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 28th at Citi Field.
Braves Pitching Dominated
The Braves pitching dominated on Saturday, giving up zero runs, and that was enough for the victory. Spencer Schwellenbach had a strong game, going seven innings, giving up two hits and zero runs. The Braves are averaging 4.19 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.71 runs per game. The offense is ranked 19th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 2nd. They have a run differential of 0.49 which is 8th in the league. Marcell Ozuna has hit 28 home runs and driven in 80 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Braves will be Reynaldo Lopez, who sits with a 7-4 record and an ERA of 2.12. In his last start against the Reds, he went six innings giving up seven hits and four runs.
Mets Offense Needs To Be Better
Whenever you start to turn the Mets again they seem to blown it and that was the case on Saturday. The Met’s offense finished with four hits and zero runs. The Mets are averaging 4.86 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.64 runs per game. The offense is ranked 6th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 22nd. They have a run differential of 0.25 which is 14th in the league. Francisco Lindor has hit 22 home runs and driven in 62 RBIs. Getting the start for the Mets will be David Peterson, who sits with a 5-0 record and an ERA of 3.14. In his last start against the Miami Marlins, he went five innings giving up six hits and two runs.
Why the Mets Will Beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games following a road win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against National League opponents following a loss.
NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Lopez gave up four runs in his last start, but he has still been good this season, and in his last start, he gave up only four runs. Peterson has also been good this season, and in his last start, he gave up only two runs. Look for the Braves and Mets offenses to both really struggle here, and that will be the difference here, as this game is going to end up being lower-scoring. Back the under to cash here with ease.
