Cincinnati Reds (68-73) vs. NY Mets (76-64)
September 6, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -161 / Cincinnati Reds +137; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Reds and NY Mets meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction. This article will include a NY Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Pick.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 68-73 on the year after playing the Brewers and Astros. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 141 hits and 63 RBI, while Spencer Steer and Jonathan India have combined for 235 hits and 139 RBI.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The NY Mets are 76-64 on the year after playing the White Sox and Red Sox. The NY Mets have scored 19 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The NY Mets have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the NY Mets with 157 hits and 84 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 240 hits and 152 RBI.
Cincinnati Reds vs NY Mets Pitching Pick Matchup
The Cincinnati Reds didn’t list a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.
Sean Manaea gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 11-5 with a 3.35 ERA and 154 strikeouts this season. Manaea has allowed 6 hits and 3 runs in his last 13.2 innings. Manaea has a 3.82 ERA and .208 allowed batting average in 73 home innings. Manaea is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last seven games.
- The Reds have lost each of their last seven night games against the Mets following a home win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against the Mets following a home win.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Jeff McNeil has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Sean Manaea has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites.
- Sean Manaea has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Mets as home favorites.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 22 games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Harrison Bader has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against former teams.
- Pete Alonso ranks 10th in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games against NL East opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four games against NL East opponents.
- Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last five games against NL East opponents.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against NL East opponents.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 road appearances.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (62) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Mets rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (522).
- The New York Mets rank T3rd in the league for doubles this season (256).
- The Cincinnati Reds rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (187).
- The Cincinnati Reds rank 26th in the league for hits this season (1089).
NY Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Cincinnati Reds are playing inspired baseball all of a sudden, and it makes them worth a look in the underdog role. However, the Reds have nothing to play for overall, so I doubt this winning stretch lasts much longer. The Mets need to take advantage of games like this, especially at home, as they chase down a playoff spot. Sean Manaea has been respectable this season and is coming off two solid starts. The Mets can’t afford to blow games like this with only a few weeks left. I’ll lay the juice with the home team.
