NY Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 9-7-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a NY Mets vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 7th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

NY Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 77-64 this year and they have won eight games in a row. New York won game one in this series by a score of 6-4 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Mets swept the Red Sox, swept the White Sox, and won two out of three against the Diamondbacks. New York is 10-2 in their last 12 games and they are battling with the Braves for second in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 676 runs with a .249 batting average and a .321 on-base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .240 with 31 home runs and 78 RBI’s for the Mets this season.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 68-74 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Cincinnati dropped game one in this series on Friday night and allowed six runs. Prior to this series, the Reds swept the Astros, lost three out of four against the Brewers, and lost two out of three against the Athletics. Cincinnati is 5-7 in their last 12 games and they are fourth in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 638 runs with a .233 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .263 with 23 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Reds this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is TBD. Williamson was tentatively in line to pitch, but he pitched on Friday night. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Quintana, who is 7-9 with a 4.27 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 145.1 innings pitched this year. Quintana has allowed a total of one earned run in his last two starts (11.1 IP) against the White Sox and Padres. 

Why the Mets will beat the Reds

• The Mets have won each of their last eight games.
• The Reds have lost eight of their last nine-day games after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine-day games after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last six-day games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last six games against NL East opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five-day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four road games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Harrison Bader has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against former teams.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last 23 games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last eight games.
• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four-day games.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 23 games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Quintana has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last three games against NL East opponents.
• Spencer Steer has recorded at least one total base in each of the Reds’ last eight road games.
• Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Spencer Steer has recorded a hit in each of the Reds’ last eight road games.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last five games against NL East opponents.

NY Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 

The Mets come into this matchup on an eight-game winning streak and they are really pushing in the NL Wild Card race. New York is 39-33 at home this year, while Cincinnati is 32-35 on the road. The Reds have not announced their starting pitcher for this game, but we do know Quintana will be on the mound for the Mets. Quintana has had an up-and-down season, but he has pitched very well in his last two starts.

It is tough to look at this game without knowing one of the starters, but there is no reason to go against the Mets, who have won their last seven games by 2+ runs. Take New York to win by at least two runs here.