Cincinnati Reds (68-75) vs. NY Mets (78-64)
September 8, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -208 / Cincinnati Reds +173; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets square off Sunday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Cincinnati Reds will send out Julian Aguiar for the start here and Aguiar is 1-0 with a 6.48 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. This will be Aguiar’s first career start against the Mets. The New York Mets will start Luis Severino here and Severino is 10-6 with a 3.84 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. In his career, Severino is 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA and 22 strikeouts against the Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds come into this one looking to salvage something from this series after falling short in Saturday’s matchup, losing by a final score of 4-0. The loss in the series meant that the Reds would not be able to build on their sweep of the Astros to start the week.
Reds Trying To Get Back To .500
Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 142 hits, 23 home runs and 65 RBIs with 62 stolen bases along with a .261 batting average as well. Spencer Steer has a team-high 86 RBIs with 30 doubles, 19 home runs and 24 stolen bases while Will Benson also has 19 doubles with 14 stolen bases but also has 144 strikeouts. De La Cruz also has a team-high 185 strikeouts so far this season. Jeimer Candelario also has 23 doubles as well as 20 home runs, 56 RBIs and 96 hits this season for Cincinnati.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won nine of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have lost each of their last four Sunday games as home favorites.
- The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine Sunday games as home favorites.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets will try to complete the sweep of the Reds after their victory in Saturday’s matchup. The win was yet another for the Mets in the series win streak that they’re on, as they’ve taken down the Red Sox, White Sox and Diamondbacks over the last two weeks.
Mets Trying To Crash Playoff Spots
Pete Alonso has 31 home runs and 79 RBIs with 30 doubles and Francisco Lindor has 38 doubles of his own with 30 home runs and 84 RBIs along with 26 stolen bases. Brandon Nimmo has 74 RBIs and 140 strikeouts while Lindor has a team-high 158 hits and Harrison Bader has 15 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last nine games.
- The Reds have lost each of their last five games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last nine games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games at Citi Field against teams that held a winning record.
Reds vs. Mets Prediction
I’m on the Mets here. It’s just so hard to step in front of the Reds right now and I don’t even feel like doing it now to begin with. The Mets are simply the better team by a wide margin and I think Cincinnati is just cooling off at the worst time for their standards. Give me the Mets to keep rolling here.
